{"id":2515,"date":"2022-05-14T04:28:47","date_gmt":"2022-05-14T04:28:47","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/countysplash.co.ke\/?p=2515"},"modified":"2022-05-14T04:28:47","modified_gmt":"2022-05-14T04:28:47","slug":"kwendo-opanga-politics-of-presidential-succession-from-mzee-kenyatta-to-uhuru","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/horizonnews.co.ke\/?p=2515","title":{"rendered":"KWENDO OPANGA: Politics of presidential succession from Mzee Kenyatta to Uhuru"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Kenya is headed for its fourth presidential succession since independence in four month\u2019s time. In this four-part series, Kwendo Opanga analyses the politics of the transfer of power.<\/code><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nairobi <\/code><\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The political tyro of President Daniel arap Moi’s failed succession project of 2002 has matured into 2022’s manipulator and choreographer of his own presidential succession. Unexpectedly, Moi was desperate to hand over the reins of power to his handpicked, untried and untested 41-year-old Uhuru Kenyatta. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Daniel Moi (l), Mwai Kibaki (c) and Uhuru Kenyatta<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

But, as the presidential election campaign drew to a close, he knew that would not happen. It would be to Mwai Kibaki, his former Vice-President of nine years, whom he dropped like a hot brick in 1988, that he would hand over the sword of office. Kibaki – since deceased – was coasting to a landslide victory.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kenyatta\u2019s pregnant silence and Njonjo's ominous threat scattered the group, scuppered their scheme and paved the way for the constitution-prescribed process to the imminent succession. <\/code><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

As the votes were\ncounted and as the results were announced, Moi summoned Home Affairs Minister\nWilliam Ruto, who was in State House, Nairobi, to his office. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
President Uhuru Kenyatta<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

He instructed the\n36-year-old to urgently find Kenyatta and together prepare and deliver a\nconcession speech. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

With 71-year-old\nKibaki as President and Kenyatta as Leader of the Official Opposition, Moi\nappeared resigned to transition from President Moi to citizen Moi. He had not\nfelt the same way in 1992 or 1997. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Then, many\nopposition figures, believing Moi and KANU would lose, loudly threatened to\nhaul him to court to face misuse and abuse of office charges when they took\nover. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
President Uhuru Kenyatta (l), Raila Odinga (c) and DP William Ruto<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

How a president regards\nhis succession reveals his fears, hopes and designs about losing power and the\nincoming dispensation. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

It also draws\nattention to the political and legal mechanisms through which a presidential\nsuccession is viewed by the interested parties in the political arena. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
ODM leader Raila Odinga<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

But it is not\nonly the president who is concerned about his imminent exit. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Family, friends\nand relatives, allies and functionaries in party, government and industry, will\nsimilarly be interested, and may seek to influence the succession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

That brings into\nfocus the constitution vis-a-vis the scheming for power of the political elites\nand the president who is in the eye of the storm.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Rewind to 1976.\nThe failed change-the-constitution drive presented an invitation to founding\nPresident Jomo Kenyatta, then 79, to get involved in, if not altogether\npersonally manage, his succession. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Put another way,\nallies goaded the President to reject and replace Moi before he left office. In\n1978 old Jomo died and his VP of 12 years succeeded him in a peaceful transfer\nof power. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Mzee Jomo Kenyatta and his son, Uhuru<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The target of the\nchange-the-constitution group was Moi. Standing in its way was the\nconstitution. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

So the group\nwanted the basic law amended so that a sitting V-P could not automatically\ninherit the top job should it fall vacant by reason of death or incapacitation\nof the incumbent. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The plotters did\nnot want Moi – since deceased – to become president because he was not from\ntheir tribe of choice. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Mwai Kibaki (l), Daniel Moi (c) and Raila Odinga (r)<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

The  task facing the founding President was\nsimple; show his hand by publicly endorsing Moi and therefore end the campaign,\nor thereby challenge the campaigners to defy him, or do their bidding.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Uncharacteristically,\nKenyatta, who was said to whip ministers and politicians who rubbed him up the\nwrong way, chose to keep quiet, but not so his power-playing Attorney-General\nCharles Njonjo. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Uhuru,Kibaki,Moi and Mzee Kenyatta<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure><\/div>\n\n\n\n

Njonjo – since\ndeceased – threatened the group whose ring leaders included Njenga Karume, the\nKiambu tycoon and chairman of the powerful Gikuyu Embu Meru Association;\nNjoroge Mungai, a former foreign minister and Kenyatta\u2019s personal physician;\nPaul Ngei, a Cabinet Minister and member of the fabled Kapenguria Six freedom\nheroes; and Kihika Kimani, founder of the giant Nakuru-based Ngwataniro land\nbuying company.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

He told them –\nall since deceased – it was a treasonable offence to think, imagine or\notherwise encompass the death of the President. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kenyatta died in office. Moi and Kibaki retired from office, the latter in 2013. Kenyatta and Kibaki let the law dictate their successions. Moi sought to manipulate the process and succeed himself through Kenyatta\u2019s son. <\/code><\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Kenyatta\u2019s\npregnant silence and Njonjo’s ominous threat scattered the group, scuppered\ntheir scheme and paved the way for the constitution-prescribed process to the\nimminent succession.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

However, the\nwriting was on the wall. One, if the rich and powerful were going to have their\nway, there were going to be fights over future presidential successions and the\nconstitution would be a casualty. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Two, Kenyatta\nresisted his political Mafia, but there was no guarantee that those coming\nafter him would defer to the constitution. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"
Moi and Kibaki in 2002<\/code><\/strong><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Indeed, it has\nsince been argued that Kenyatta had a secret succession pact with Moi which\nbound the latter to protect the former’s family and vast commercial interests.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Three, future\npresidential successions were going to be action-packed and or volatile\naffairs. Presidential polls were similarly going to be heated and would exert\npressure on the players, electorate and umpires.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Kenyatta died in office. Moi and Kibaki retired from office, the latter in 2013. Kenyatta and Kibaki let the law dictate their successions. Moi sought to manipulate the process and succeed himself through Kenyatta\u2019s son.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

End<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Kenya is headed for its fourth presidential succession since independence in four month\u2019s time. In this four-part series, Kwendo Opanga analyses the politics of the transfer of power. Nairobi The political tyro of President Daniel arap Moi’s failed succession project of 2002 has matured into 2022’s manipulator and choreographer of his own presidential succession. Unexpectedly, […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":4,"featured_media":2518,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2515","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-kenya-news"],"yoast_head":"\nKWENDO OPANGA: Politics of presidential succession from Mzee Kenyatta to Uhuru - Horizon News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/horizonnews.co.ke\/?p=2515\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"KWENDO OPANGA: Politics of presidential succession from Mzee Kenyatta to Uhuru - Horizon News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Kenya is headed for its fourth presidential succession since independence in four month\u2019s time. 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